Central banks, notably the ECB, once again made their mark on market sentiment.
Global markets started the week on the front foot following better-than-expected jobs data in the US.
The Fed and ECB minutes were released over the week. Most central banks have changed their tone. Following on from the Bank of England, the Bank of Canada and the Fed, the ECB also suggested it was moving towards tightening in a few months’ time.
Equity, bond and currency markets had a turbulent week. Oil was the first to suffer with Brent crude falling below USD 45 before rallying to close above USD 47.5. Then it was the turn of US tech stocks to suffer more profit taking.
It was another week of market stabilisation amid low rates and favourable economic momentum. In particular, France’s business climate hit a record level not seen since November 2011 with a sharp upturn in construction and retail trends.
All eyes focused on central bank meetings: the US, Canada, the UK and Japan. Only the ECB (the week before) and BoJ stuck to the same message.
Valuations are starting to look a little stretched but the pace of global growth is satisfactory: no signs of overheating but no pointers either suggesting the cycle is about to end so the recovery looks reasonably
sustainable. But despite this marked economic and financial stability, it would be wrong to conclude...
No US economic data appeared this week to throw light on recent weak job creation figures.
Donald Trump has decided to quit the Paris climate agreement failing a renegotiation which would better reflect US national interests. All responsible people know the agreement is not renegotiable so the question is how the US is likely to leave and when, as well as the decision's impact on other countries. The...
With trading relatively quiet, European markets were flat overall. However, emerging countries rose by close to 1% and US markets actually hit fresh highs.
After a month of strong performance from global equities, the MSCI World in local currency had its worst down week since Donald Trump’s election.
Equity markets edged lower on profit taking after Emmanuel Macron’s victory in the French presidential elections.
For many markets it was a short holiday week but there was lots of news.
The week got off to a very buoyant start. The French presidential first round results sent eurozone systemic risk lower. And the other good news came from indications that economic momentum in the zone was still improving.
The most professional polls on the French presidential election outcome are suggesting a number of possible combinations for the second round play-off. And naturally, volatility has resurfaced on markets.
Equity markets marked a pause in a short Easter-week with most stock markets closed for Good Friday. And yet behind the calm facade, equity volatility rose as investors sought to hedge positions against a possible drop.
Equity and bond markets edged higher over the week. The big news items were the Fed’s minutes and Mario Draghi’s statements. The Fed suggested that it might no longer reinvest coupon payments if the US economy continued to pick up speed.
There was no improvement in market visibility this week. In the US, relations between the Trump administration and Congress are turning out to be quite complicated. The bill to replace Obamacare had to be withdrawn after the Republican Party’s right wing criticised it for not being bold enough.
Equity market trading was more nervous with the US and Japan losing ground and Europe and emerging markets treading water. Worries over Donald Trump’s electoral promises surfaced after the new administration struggled to pass its new Healthcare bill.