Market Analysis
Market Flash: Are we heading towards a surprise Iran v US semifinal?
10.07.2026
• The Middle East conflict had gradually been receding into the background but the resumption of hostilities between Washington and Tehran caught investors off guard.
• The latest economic data and comments from some Fed governors mean we still cannot rule out a rate hike at the end of July so real interest rates have moved towards new highs.
• We have turned positive on government bonds as Central bank risk is now largely discounted.



