Market Analysis
Liberation Day: the US overturns free trade rules
04/04/2025
• D. Trump's "Liberation Day" announcements have heightened uncertainty for the markets and the Fed, with a series of tariffs on all imports except Canada (which is already hit by 25% tariffs) and Mexico.
• Initial estimates forecast a contraction in the US GDP by -1.5% and an inflation increase of +1.5%.
• In Europe, the euro's appreciation against the dollar and the expectation of competitive prices for Chinese products lacking outlets on the US market could mitigate the impact of these measures